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A list of all the posts and pages found on the site. For you robots out there is an XML version available for digesting as well.
Pages
Welcome
About me
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My Physics Research
Research
Posts
Evaluating xG
Published:
How to Evaluate Expected Goals Models?
What is this article actually about?
First thing’s first, this article isn’t really about expected goals (xG) models but rather about evaluating and optimizing any model that assigns probability values to discrete events. This could apply to many things. In the context of sports, this article could just as easily be written about game prediction models and outside of sports it applies to any number of things from evaluating a weather channel’s ability to predict whether it will rain to election forecasts. What this article is actually about then is (spoiler alert): log loss. Log loss is a metric that is often used is discussions of hockey analytics for example here it is used to compare game prediction models. In the past when I have seen “log loss”, I have known “small number good” but did not know where it comes from or why I should care about it. Statistics that are not understood can be counter productive and confusing so in this article I hope to provide that understanding. I am going to start off with some statistics basics and from there slowly build up to the most reasonable evaluation method and in doing so derive the meaning of log loss.
First Post
Published:
New Blog
In this blog I will use to write up coding and anayltics projects that I work on which are not at all related to physics. I have a long note on my phone full of questions related to hockey analysis so that is likely what the main topic will be at least to start.
portfolio
Portfolio item number 1
Published:
Short description of portfolio item number 1
Portfolio item number 2
Published:
Short description of portfolio item number 2
publications
Paper Title Number 1
Published in Journal 1, 2009
This paper is about the number 1. The number 2 is left for future work.
Recommended citation: Your Name, You. (2009). "Paper Title Number 1." Journal 1. 1(1). http://academicpages.github.io/files/paper1.pdf
Paper Title Number 2
Published in Journal 1, 2010
This paper is about the number 2. The number 3 is left for future work.
Recommended citation: Your Name, You. (2010). "Paper Title Number 2." Journal 1. 1(2). http://academicpages.github.io/files/paper2.pdf
Paper Title Number 3
Published in Journal 1, 2015
This paper is about the number 3. The number 4 is left for future work.
Recommended citation: Your Name, You. (2015). "Paper Title Number 3." Journal 1. 1(3). http://academicpages.github.io/files/paper3.pdf
talks
Talk 1 on Relevant Topic in Your Field
Published:
This is a description of your talk, which is a markdown files that can be all markdown-ified like any other post. Yay markdown!
Conference Proceeding talk 3 on Relevant Topic in Your Field
Published:
This is a description of your conference proceedings talk, note the different field in type. You can put anything in this field.
teaching
Teaching experience 1
Undergraduate course, University 1, Department, 2014
This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.
Teaching experience 2
Workshop, University 1, Department, 2015
This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.